Sep 19, 2020

Election Analytics: The Economy

Gov 1347 Election 2020

This week, I am building predictive models for US presidential elections using the following economic variables: Gross Domestic Product (GDP), Real Disposable Income (RDI), and Unemployment. For each model, I'll apply data from 2020 to evaluate its accuracy and then focus on incumbency. I wrap up by modeling state level unemployment data and comparing it to the model which uses national level unemployment data. Read More...

Sep 12, 2020

Election Analytics: Introduction

Gov 1347 Election 2020

For the first blog, I'll be exploring past election results to find any trends in the data. More specifically, I'll be looking at incumbency, the electoral college, and swing states. Read More...